Although the Warriors have far surpassed the Celtics in experience, and in terms of the health of the main players, they are definitely better than the Celtics who have entered the tiebreaker in two consecutive rounds, but the Celtics overcame the beginning of the season this season. After going out of his way, he passed all the way, and built up the momentum and mentality to win the championship step by step in the playoffs. If he can flexibly use the advantages of the formation, he is still expected to break the Warriors’ 8-win undefeated gold body in the playoffs so far.
With 3 minutes and 35 seconds left in the game, Celtic, who was visiting Miami, still held a 13-point lead. Unexpectedly, in the next 3 minutes, the Heat, who were completely suppressed throughout the game, responded with a wave of 11: The offensive of 0, if it is not the last key three-pointer shot by Jimmy Butler, who is burning himself, or the Celtics have to carry the title of East Asia again, instead of returning to the championship stage.
Many fans found that the Celtics’ playoffs this year were like a journey of revenge, sweeping the Nets (and Kyrie Irving, who became Boston’s public enemy in 2 seasons) in the first round; they were eliminated after 7 games in the second round. In 2019, he broken up his Bucks; he fought 7 more bloody games in the Eastern Division Championship, and thrilledly defeated the Heat who teached himself in the Bubble Division in 2020. It has been difficult and passed, and now they are about to face the most iconic warriors of the modern NBA era.
The last time the Celtics met with the Warriors in the championship game was 58 years ago. At that time, the Warriors’ leader was Wilt Chamberlain and the Celtics’ leader was Bill Russell. In the end, the army successfully completed the six consecutive hegemony with 4:1. Now the two teams face off again, and they also have a heart-wrenching journey. From 2015 to 2019, the Warriors advanced to the championship game for 5 consecutive years and won 3 championships. However, after 2 years of serious injury problems and lineup reshuffle, they did not regain their strength until this year. As for the Celtics, after losing to the rival Lakers in the championship game in 2010, after the disbandment of GAP and the ups and downs of the post-GAP era, they finally returned to the championship stage after a lapse of 12 years under the growth of this year’s double third.
The Green Shirts’ Unlimited Swap
Stephen Curry, who has won the championship three times so far, is probably the only shortcoming in his career is the lack of an FMVP trophy. Many people also believe that if Curry can win this honor, then he is bound to move his historical positioning forward. One step, or even become a more iconic star than LeBron James, this year may be the closest he has ever come to Finals MVP.
Recalling Curry’s past performance in the championship arena, he was strictly served by Matthew Dellavedova when he won the championship for the first time; Kevin Durant, who had no solution for the second and third championships, overshadowed his style; in 2019, he was in KD, Klay Thompson successively. When it falls, it is blocked by the Box & One of the Tyrannosaurus. Although the Celtics did not rely on the top backcourt lock Avery Bradley to stick to Curry the whole game in the past, but after a series of formation adjustments, they created an infinite defense lineup that has the money to deal with the Warriors. For the Warriors, the Green Shirts will undoubtedly be a green shield that is more difficult to crack than the Gold Nuggets, Grizzlies, and Lone Rangers.
Danny Ainge, the former general manager, has been working on strengthening his players since the days of Dwarf Tang, but the current general manager Brad Stevens is an uncompromising small ball lover. No matter how tall a player is, he will always keep his children on the court. The leapfrog challenge, so when the new coach Ime Udoka took office and changed to play the twin towers, he instead highlighted the physical advantage of the team’s lineup. It is no longer the past that one or two people will always be reduced to RBI, and we must find ways to hide loopholes .
Although the Celtics are one of the best defensive teams this season, the players’ individual defense strength is not top-notch. Marcus Smart, who won the Defensive Player of the Year award, does not rely on his excellent skills, but on his hard work without fear of death; Jaylen Brown’s inertia will be deceived by fake moves; Tatum’s center of gravity is too high, which affects his follow-up speed; Horford’s aging guards the perimeter I’m afraid it will be played by small guards; as for Robert Williams, although he has a wide range of defense, he is only suitable for the role of follow-up defense.
The Warriors’ offense this season revolves around Curry, Thompson, and Jordan Poole. Although Thompson lost his past movement speed after being seriously injured, the Warriors still rely on the three-man mutual screening and empty-handed movement to disrupt the opponent’s defense. Therefore, the Celtics must be more focused on switching and communication in this round of the series. Only by keeping an eye on the movements of the three players can they have the opportunity to rely on their physical advantages to interfere with their shot and pass paths.
Double attack on flanks and restricted areas
Continuing the analysis in the previous paragraph, the strength of the Warriors’ lineup lies in the three shots in the backcourt, while the strength of the Green Shirts is the double-tall attack on the front line. Under Udoka’s scheduling division of labor this season, the double-tall team is mainly responsible for the offense, as for the inside line. The guards and guards are responsible for defense. For example, Smart and White, who is off the bench, are both defensive guards. In addition, Payton Pritchard, who was frozen in the Eastern Championship, is also expected to thaw at this time and play a defensive surprise.
The Warriors are not without talents who can defend double third picks, such as Andrew Wiggins, who is on the front line against Luka Doncic in the Western Conference Championship, and Otto Porter Jr., Gary Payton Jr., who are about to return, and 2 big rookies Jonathan Kuminga, Moses Moody. However, it should be noted that since the double-third flower gradually grew, the Green Shirts have mainly focused on the tactics of calling Tatum and Brown, and continued to attack the opponent’s defensive weaknesses. Therefore, in order to maintain strong firepower on the offensive end, the warriors are likely to Forced to play the short double-back combination of Curry and Poole on the court for a long time, so that the Celtics can have more chances to manage.
In order to cover up the weakness of the short backcourt, the Warriors will not rule out a regional defense, but the Celtics, after going through the Eastern Championship and the Heat, who can play the most regional defense in the NBA, can also see that White and Horford are cracking The importance of defense. In addition, I also expect Udoka to design Horford’s post-up play in the championship game. After all, Kevon Looney is a defender that the aging Horford can handle compared to a center with physical strength and thickness like Bam Adebayo.
key fourth quarter
In this year’s playoffs, the Warriors have a 94-point fourth-quarter margin, the best of 16 teams, but they have a 7-point margin in the first three quarters. Although such data is mixed with a lot of garbage time, after the Warriors significantly improved their offensive and defensive strength in the fourth quarter, they brought an ORtg of 133.9, and Curry will make 53% shooting and 44% in the fourth quarter. The three-point shooting rate will undoubtedly be a severe test for the young green shirts who often crash at the end of the game.
Using another data to analyze, the Warriors have a record of 8 wins and 0 losses in 16 playoff games this year, only if they can take the lead in the first three quarters. However, the Celtics are not far behind in this regard. They still have a record of 10 wins and 1 loss after taking the lead in the first three quarters. Therefore, we can expect that this round of series battles is likely not to have a large gap like the previous rounds, but to fight all the way to the last moment to decide the winner.
Series Prediction
Celtics in 6
Although the Warriors have far surpassed the Celtics in experience, and in terms of the health of the main players, they are definitely better than the Celtics who have entered the tiebreaker in two consecutive rounds, but the Celtics overcame the beginning of the season this season. After going out of his way, he passed all the way, and built up the momentum and mentality to win the championship step by step in the playoffs. If he can flexibly use the advantages of the formation, he is still expected to break the Warriors’ 8-win undefeated gold body in the playoffs so far.
Don’t forget that before the start of the Eastern Championship, the opponents of the Green Shirts, the Heat, also remained unbeaten at home…
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