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2022 NBA playoffs second round analysis Philadelphia 76ers

2022 NBA Playoffs Analysis Philadelphia 76ers

Whether or not that final kill will end Philly’s playoff journey or not, the team’s turmoil and lack of focus make Butler unbearable in this environment, and his departure has put him in the spotlight again. And at the moment when the center of the turmoil has changed, we will meet old and familiar friends again. 

As the ball spins on the top edge of the rim, countless images flash through my mind. It’s messy, but before the crisp sound of the net, I’ve made up my mind – I can’t go on with this team. -Jimmy Butler

This is what the Master Chief talked about on his former comrade-in-arms JJ. Redick’s radio show after he left Friendship. Whether or not that final kill will end Philly’s playoff journey or not, the team’s turmoil and lack of focus make Butler unbearable in this environment, and his departure has put him in the spotlight again. And at the moment when the center of the turmoil has changed, we will meet old and familiar friends again.

The two, who still know each other to this day, finally meet in the playoffs
The two, who still know each other to this day, finally meet in the playoffs

Miami Heat – A clever balance from offense to defense, from starter to bench

Attack surface

Three similar but not identical running shooters have become the most trusted tactical core in South Beach
Three similar but not identical running shooters have become the most trusted tactical core in South Beach

Compared with the Celtics who still lead the offensive with a double third overall, the Heat are undoubtedly the most balanced team in the league. Most of the offensive launch in the array is centered on high-post support and off-ball running. Strus, Herro, and Robinson all know this well, allowing the Heat to maintain a state of running with two shooters in the audience. This year’s complemented Tucker and Adebayo can use his sturdiness to give his teammates enough support in hand-off or off-ball screening. Supplemented by the pick-and-roll offense that Butler and Vincent can launch with other players, the Heat have a full range of attack methods. From the data point of view, their 2-point and 3-point shots in the playoffs accounted for 55:45, and the distribution of close to 1 to 1 also made opponents elusive. In addition, Jimmy Butler’s hot touch in the playoffs also gave the Heat the final answer when the tactics couldn’t run out.

The off-ball defense and the coordinating offense launched by the elders are the biggest hurdles for the Philadelphia 76ers. The team’s best off-ball defender, Thybulle, has limited playing time when the offense is difficult to provide support. Maxey often missed out on off-ball defense in the previous battle with the Heat, so he needs to invest more in Harris on the rebound is not a defensive commander on the court. These disadvantages are magnified when Embiid will rest for at least five days and should miss two games. Without the Cameroonian giants sitting in the penalty area to cover the last line of defense, it will test how Rivers can play in the limited depth.

Defensive side

After missing the second round of last season, the most familiar opponent will usher in the showdown again
After missing the second round of last season, the most familiar opponent will usher in the showdown again

In addition to the offensive end, the defensive end is the part of the Heat that amazes the whole world. Not only will they intersperse the defense with the 2-1-2 defensive formation of the area and the audience, but they also have the ability to switch defenses. The second-line assist defense that is waiting for the opportunity even more restricts Young, who is calling for the wind and rain in the regular season.

This is undoubtedly a warning sign for Harden, whose explosiveness has declined. Even the first-line single defense of the Tyrannosaurus was unable to successfully break through the beard, and it was not easy to survive under the palm of the Nantan army – but Laohe was not without solutions. One is the high-post double-gear he demonstrated in G6, using higher screens to free up Harden’s acceleration opportunities, and also allow the Heat to have more chances of switching mistakes, but the Heat may respond with full-court marking. Second, the Heat have unusual confidence in defending the three-point line. It may be that they are more willing to interfere with every three-point shot because of the timely help and defense of the rear, but this also gives players who can play the ball the opportunity to fake and then reach the core zone to shoot. In the previous round of Atlanta, only Bogi and Hunter may have a stable ability in this regard, but Milton, Harris, Maxey and others in Philadelphia all have the ability to attack the ball, and the ability to tear the defense will make the Heat suffer. more tests. Among them, whether the Kentucky second-year students who played well in the first round can calm down and carefully observe the defense before making an offensive decision will be the key to whether Philadelphia can disintegrate the Heat’s defense.

Philadelphia 76ers – a team led by Twin Peaks, the possibility of being alone

Attack surface

After the Great Emperor was determined to be absent from the first two battles, he had to stand up the sign of the City of Friendship alone.
After the Great Emperor was determined to be absent from the first two battles, he had to stand up the sign of the City of Friendship alone.

Compared with the ease of the Heat in the first round, the Philadelphia side played two bad games after the draw. It was not until the sixth game that they finally recovered and strictly implemented the game strategy, and then accepted the victory of the series. The offense attracts defenses through Harden and Embiid’s pick-and-roll combination, and the former’s precise passing allows the connection point to be used successfully. The use of 4-out and 5-out positions allows the Emperor to support his teammates in attacking space whether he is on the weak side or attracting double teams on the strong side. However, unlike the Heat’s attack mode using role players, the 76ers put more emphasis on double-star play to gain opportunities for their teammates.

Embiid’s ruptured right eye socket and a minor concussion that required five days to reassess the possibility of playing have cast a huge shadow over Philadelphia’s original playbook. Although Reed, who came off the bench, can give the 76ers the ability to defend to the outside, there is no doubt that the impact of the attack will be reduced.

Defensive side

With Reed on and off the court, the defensive style of the first two games will be very different from the previous series
With Reed on and off the court, the defensive style of the first two games will be very different from the previous series

As for the defensive end, it looks good on paper, with DEFRTG ranking 6th in the league, but that has to be due to Toronto’s visible lack of formation. The 29.9% three-point shooting rate throughout the series allowed the Sixers to effectively target the defense and avoid the opponent’s shot in the mid-to-close range where they are good at. As for Miami, which has a balanced attack range, what kind of strategy Laohe will take to deal with it deserves our attention.

After all, when the two teams played against each other for the last time at the end of the season, Philadelphia, who had DAJ in place, let Lowry launch a pick-and-roll attack at the three-point line because he could only drop, and he made a Pull Up without hesitation. The moment when the defensive execution was relatively good throughout the game was when Millsap switched decisively, allowing the team to realize that their defenders were constantly changing. Before the game, Rivers talked about putting Jordan in the big lineup and Reed in the small lineup. Considering that Adebayo is not a large center after all, Reed should eat the time of the emperor, and who can become the defensive center who commands the switch on the court? Maybe only Green can look forward to it a little bit.

Game highlights:

1.Who will take on the task of guarding Butler?

The most familiar two may collide fiercely in this series
The most familiar two may collide fiercely in this series

Given how well the Master Chief played in the first round, it will be a question for Philly who can be the player who wears out his stamina. And even though Butler made 0.9 C&S 3-pointers with a 42.9% shooting percentage in the first round, he was still a ball-handling player for most of the time. Therefore, from the author’s point of view, Harris, who performed well on Siakam’s solo defense in the first round, must be the best candidate for Philadelphia’s lack of a striker.

From the data point of view, in 57.5 possessions against Harris this season, Butler’s offensive desire is not high, leaving only 2-of-5 performance, but if the time is extended to the 2019-20 season, Butler at that time Can score 4 goals in 44.4% of Harris’ 34.5 possessions. It can be said that the number of battle samples between the two is not large, but since there is really no other strong body in the Philadelphia formation that can withstand the Master Chief, such a defensive combination can be said to be imperative.

Thybulle minutes and small ball possibilities?

We’re gonna play a more James-dominant offense than we have because we have to. We’re gonna space the floor more, we’re gonna play in space more. – Doc Rivers

From Laohe’s interview with the media, it is not difficult to see that Rivers will configure the formation with Harden as the absolute core, and needs to have the ability to open up space. But in the case that Philadelphia shooters generally have loopholes on defense (especially Niang), Thybulle’s double-edged sword on both ends of the offense will become a headache for the old river. Placing Thybulle will make the running shooter’s receiving space more uncomfortable, and it will also avoid mistakes on the switch defense. But the sacrifice is that in Embiid’s absence, having two players on the court who can’t shoot will affect Harden’s cutting quality. However, after watching the Hawks-Heat series, I have an interesting idea – a small-ball lineup of Harden, Maxey, Green, Thybulle, and Harris.

Can a backcourt lock that can defend without the ball get playing time?
Can a backcourt lock that can defend without the ball get playing time?

In the face of the Eagles’ G2, the Heat once played a formation with Tucker as the center to face the Eagles’ 5-out formation. It has a more terrifying ability to switch defenses than Adebayo, and it has indeed paid off. And if Spoelstra adopts this lineup again, Philadelphia may be able to strike a balance on both ends of the floor with the aforementioned small-ball combination. Offensive can still take a 4-out position, allowing Thybulle to use the pick-and-roll or standing on the weak side Dunker Spot to free up Harden’s maximum offensive space; defense can protect Harden’s exhausted defensive run as a shooter, so that Beard only needs to be with Tucker. You can do hand-to-hand combat. (I believe Tucker is also reluctant to single against Harden)

Of course, such a lineup Philadelphia has never implemented in the regular season, and whether it is temporarily activated and tested in the crisis of survival will test Doc Rivers’ coaching courage.

Predicted result: 4:1 Heat advance or 4:3 Sixers advance

A solid team strength is the undeniable advantage of the Heat this season
A solid team strength is the undeniable advantage of the Heat this season

With Embiid absent from the first two games, the team-strength Heat may smash the readjusted Philadelphia at home, and they may not have the ability to tie the game, which has always been prone to bursting mentality. big score to end the season.

However, if the first two games can come up with special tactical configurations to make the game a tug-of-war, and even last until the Emperor returns and successfully defends at Well’s Fargo Center, it will be a predictable result that the battle will be extended and the seventh game will be deepened. And will the ball bounce into the home team’s net this time? The author’s answer is yes.

But in all fairness, the possibility of the above two kinds of results, considering Rivers’ coaching experience and Harden’s frequent laziness this season, the first kind of situation is much higher.

Since you have escaped an opportunity to make history, let’s continue on the road to prove yourself.

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